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us-treasury

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Jupyter notebooks for analysis of US federal debt levels, tax revenues, budget deficit, evolution of yields on treasury borrowings, treasury yield curves and inflation expectations, unemployment and participation rates, quantitative easing, industrial production, personal consumption and savings. All analysis is based on data provided by FRED.

  • Updated May 12, 2024
  • Jupyter Notebook

This python project makes use of matplotlib and numpy to visualize the spread between short and long term US treasury bond rates (yield rates). The resulting spread can indicate upcoming economical recessions. Predictions made based on that so called yield curve inversion has proven its accuracy for 6 out of 7 recessions in the past and is renow…

  • Updated Sep 8, 2020
  • Python

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