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A tracking of COVID-19

Ravi Prakash

A dedicated repository for my data-science and analytics' work on the PANDEMIC sars 2019-nCoV OR COVID-19 (official name), spread through a novel Coronavirus. This disease was initially reported into the China during mid November 2019. Thereafter, it spread worldwide.


This project mainly works onto the Confirmed & Deaths cases. (Earlier work including Recovered cases can be found in the Archived directories)


novel Coronavirus Disease: 2020

In the 21st century, novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) has appeared as the most severe pandemic, originated from Hubei province of China.

Caused by: novel Coronavirus - 2nd

Story of its origin -

During November, 2019 - a severe viral infection was noticed in Wuhan, a city in Hubei provinces of China. On November 17th 2019, the first case this infection was reported. Doctor's initially took it lightly as if it was a normal fever/cold. But, when a wide range of patients reported similar symptoms, a doctor - Dr. Li Wenliang of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Lab, claimed that it was a type of severe acute respiratory syndrome, spreading through a new coronavirus transmission in the whole Hubei province, very rapidly. This news got exposed during the late December 2019. Unfortunatly, Dr. Li also died due to being affected by the same disease.

As per the sources, in 2003, the same lab found first deadly SARS Coronavirus, led to 813 casualties, all over the world, within two months!

Initially, it was named as "Wuhan Virus". But, as it started spreading rapidly from Hubei to the whole mainland of China, its name got replaced by term "China Virus".


Finally, on Feb. 11th 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) gave the disease an official name: COVID-19.
WHO has also declared the COVID-19 as a pandemic.

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, over 2,940,000 people have been infected throughout the world and over 203,822 people have been killed.

How fast it grew since Jan 21st, 2020

Countries reporting the cases of 19-nCoV, on the Daily Basis


Wordcloud for Deaths reported

Deaths' WorldCloud

About the Disease

The COVID-19 is spread as rapidly as it has the Reproduction Number (R-naught) 2.5.

R-naught


Reproduction Number: is meant for the average number of people, whom an infected person is further infecting. In more generalized language, on an average, from every COVID-19 patient, virus are getting transmitted to at least 2.5 fit persons.
For Ebola, this number is appx. 1.7

In order to have controle on any epidemic, the reproducibility score has to be decreased as much as possible.

That's why, most of the highly countries are locked down. In many of them, there are the shortage of hospitals/beds/doctors, too.
Due to the lockdown, the market is also going down.

Symptoms:

The severe acute respiratory syndrome COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-19), which is often termed as 2019-nCoV, as well, is basically a viral disease spread by the novel coronavirus in which the virus tend to attack onto the respiratory system of the patient.

Though the studies are still going on, following are some most common symptoms of COVID-19, known so far:

  1. Fever
  2. Dry Cough
  3. Fatigue
  4. Shortness of Breath
  5. Nasal Congestion etc..

These are the symptoms that are reported by most of the patients. Apart from these, few patients also found to develop aches and pains and get the sniffles, according to data from China.


Resources

COVID-19 Data

  1. CSSE at Johns Hopkins University
  2. WHO
  3. Ministry of Health and Family Welfare -India
  4. Worldometer - Live