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🔥 Predicting-Viral-News 🔥

Investigation in Python of predicting the virality of a news article based on its meta-data. Uses the UCI dataset from the paper below. A top accuracy of 67% is achieved via a Neural Network which is a competitive result (original paper baseline: 67%, current state-of-the-art: 69%).

K. Fernandes, P. Vinagre and P. Cortez. A Proactive Intelligent Decision Support System for Predicting the Popularity of Online News. Proceedings of the 17th EPIA 2015 - Portuguese Conference on Artificial Intelligence, September, Coimbra, Portugal.

The full report can be viewed here.

Running the Code

Installing Requirements

Keras Numpy Pandas Scikit Learn

You can install the requirements via:

pip install -r requirements.txt

For faster training of the Neural Net, I recommend using a GPU. Create a new Anaconda environment and install all the requirements except for Keras. Then run:

conda install -c anaconda keras-gpu

If you need help getting started with Anaconda: Getting Started With Anaconda

Run 🏃

Navigate into the Code directory.

To run the full grid search, run:

python main.py

Correlation Matrix

Correlation matrix computed via Pearson's coefficient is shown below.

baseline

Results

Below is a table summary of the results. Bolded values represented best-in-class results for the experiments provided.

baseline

Model Grid Search Summary

Below is a table summary of the results. Bolded values represented best-in-class results for the experiments provided.

baseline

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Investigation in Python of predicting the virality of a news article based on its meta-data.

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