To evaluate the role of the latent generative process in the estimation of the effective reproduction number (Rt), we are developing a flexible framework (see EpiAware) for Rt estimation that allows for the inclusion of different latent infection models (such as a renewal process) and provides a consistent interface for model fitting, posterior checking, and post-processing.
In pipeline, we will use EpiAware to explore whether the inclusion of a renewal process in the latent generative process improves the estimation of Rt and other situational awareness signals. This exploration is then written as a manuscript for publication (see manuscript for work supporting this).
To install EpiAware, see installation instructions in the EpiAware directory README.
Name, Degrees, e-mail, CDC org (e.g., CDC/IOD/ORR/CFA)
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