AM207FinalProject

Modeling the Disappearance of MH370

Soren Larson and Conor Myhrvold

Final project for AM207: Advanced Scientific Computing: Stochastic Optimization Methods. Monte Carlo Methods for Inference and Data Analysis.

Course Instructor: Pavlos Protopapas. Teaching Fellow and Advisor for Project: Rahul Dave.

Harvard University, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences (SEAS), Institute for Applied Computational Science (IACS)

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For what is Part 1 of the project, see: https://github.com/myhrvold/MH370_MCMC which is self-referenced and documented. Here we include a Hidden Markov Model (Part 2) and Kalman Filter implementation (Part 3).

• Overall Website (which is actually many separate pages, but here we provide them all below)
• Parts 2&3 IPython Notebook of Code (see repository)
• Overall Project Report PDF
• Overall Poster PDF
• Screencast Presentation PDF + Link to Screencast Video

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Website:

General Audience Articles

http://www.fastcolabs.com/3028265/how-i-narrowed-down-the-location-of-malaysia-air-using-monte-carlo-data-models

http://www.fastcolabs.com/3028331/more-about-our-methodology-tracking-mh370-with-monte-carlo-data-models

http://www.fastcolabs.com/3028569/this-data-model-shows-mh370-could-not-have-flown-accidentally-to-its-destination

http://www.fastcolabs.com/3028847/with-new-information-our-data-models-point-to-foul-play-on-malaysia-air-flight-370

http://www.fastcolabs.com/3029199/as-black-box-pings-go-silent-heres-how-data-can-narrow-the-search-for-malaysia-air-flight-37

Technical Descriptions and Visualizations via IPython Notebooks

Part 1, Version 1

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/MH370_MCMC/blob/master/MH370_MC_ConorMyhrvold-bug_fixes.ipynb?create=1

Part 1, Version 2

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/MH370_MCMC/blob/master/MH370_MC_ConorMyhrvold-V2-Part1.ipynb?create=1

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/MH370_MCMC/blob/master/MH370_MC_ConorMyhrvold-V2-Part2.ipynb?create=1

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/MH370_MCMC/blob/master/MH370_MC_ConorMyhrvold-V2-Part3.ipynb?create=1

Part 1, Version 3

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/MH370_MCMC/blob/master/MH370_MC_ConorMyhrvold-V3.ipynb?create=1

Parts 2&3

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/AM207FinalProject/blob/master/AM207_MyhrvoldLarson_HMM_KalmanPart1of2.ipynb?create=1

http://nbviewer.ipython.org/github/myhrvold/AM207FinalProject/blob/master/AM207_MyhrvoldLarson_HMM_KalmanPart2of2.ipynb?create=1

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Poster

See in this repository, or get it here: Poster Dropbox Link.

Poster for the IACS Advisory Board Poster Session, to be held May 16,2014. Version 2 of original poster presented at SEAS Design Fair on May 6, 2014.

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Report

Our project writeup, which describes all parts of our project, can be found in or repository, or get it here: Write-up Dropbox Link.

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Screencast

Our screencast is here: http://youtu.be/uWNyE_312-I

Our screencast presentation can be found in our repository, or get it here: Screencast Pres Dropbox Link. The same with our screencast script.