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A decision analysis whether smallholder farmes in Nepal should intercrop their rubber monocultures with black pepper. A contribution of the online-team to the module "Desicion Analysis and Forecasting for Agricultural Development" at University Bonn.

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"Improving smallholder farmer's income through intercropping rubber and black pepper: A case study of Jhapa, Nepal"

A decision analysis whether smallholder farmes in Nepal should intercrop their rubber monocultures with black pepper. A contribution of the online-team to the module "Desicion Analysis and Forecasting for Agricultural Development" at University Bonn. The full report of this work can be accessed on our simple html file (http://htmlpreview.github.io/?https://github.com/modhd/actual_NEPAL_pepper_AF/blob/main/agroforestry_project.html)

The according conceptual model.

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The file agroforestry_project.Rmd is a submission report that includes a thematic introduction, the methodology used in the analysis, as well as results and a brief discussion. It can be knitted into a html file by default.

In the folder data, the input table input_table.csvis stored.

We set the r-project NEPAL_pepper_AF.rproj as working directory.

In the folder results, an image of the conceptual model conceptual_model.jpg as well as results from the Monte Carlo simulation mc_simulation_results.csv and EVPI calculation 2_evpi_results.csvare stored.

The file issues_to_tackle.Rmd contains ideas and adjustments we would tackle in further steps after submission.

References

CIFOR-ICRAF. 2022. “Rubber Set to Revitalize Nepal’s Degraded and Underutilized Lands to Boost Climate and Livelihoods’ Goals.” CIFOR-ICRAF. https://www.cifor-icraf.org/news/corporate-news/rubber-set-to-revitalize-nepals-degraded-and-underutilized-lands-to-boost-climate-and-livelihoods-goals/.

FAO. 2023. : “Pepper - Crop Information.” Land & Water - Databases and Software. https://www.fao.org/land-water/databases-and-software/crop-information/pepper/en/.

Fox, Jefferson, and Jean-Christophe Castella. 2013. “Expansion of Rubber (Hevea Brasiliensis) in Mainland Southeast Asia: What Are the Prospects for Smallholders?” The Journal of Peasant Studies 40 (1): 155–70. https://doi.org/10.1080/03066150.2012.750605.

Luedeling, Eike, Lutz Goehring, Katja Schiffers, Cory Whitney, and Eduardo Fernandez. 2022. "decisionSupport: Quantitative Support of Decision Making Under Uncertainty."" http://www.worldagroforestry.org/.

Oliosi, Gleison, Marcos Góes Oliveira, and Fabio Luiz Partelli. 2021. “Microclimate and Development of Black Pepper Intercropped with Rubber Tree.” Agroforestry Systems 95 (8): 1635–45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-021-00674-y.

Pandey, S. R., S. M. Dhungana, and G. P. Sharma. 2020. “Economics of Production and Marketing of Natural Rubber (Hevea Brasiliensis) in Jhapa, Nepal.” Archives of Agriculture and Environmental Science 5 (1): 25–32. https://doi.org/10.26832/24566632.2020.050104.

Rahman, Syed Ajijur, Muhammad Hasan Imam, Denyse J. Snelder, and Terry Sunderland. 2012. “Agroforestry for Livelihood Security in Agrarian Landscapes of the Padma Floodplain in Bangladesh.” Small-Scale Forestry 11 (4): 529–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11842-012-9198-y.

World Bank. 2021. “World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.” https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/.

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A decision analysis whether smallholder farmes in Nepal should intercrop their rubber monocultures with black pepper. A contribution of the online-team to the module "Desicion Analysis and Forecasting for Agricultural Development" at University Bonn.

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