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GARCH and Multivariate LSTM forecasting models for Bitcoin realized volatility with potential applications in crypto options trading, hedging, portfolio management, and risk management
Traditionally, volatility is modeled using parametric models. This project focuses on predicting EUR/USD volatility using more flexible, machine-learning methods.
使用经典的AR、MA、ARMA、ARIMA、ARCH、GARCH时间序列模型进行模型的检验和拟合。The classic AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, ARCH, GARCH time series models are used to test and predict the model.
This repository of codes includes in the R and Python programs used in the six chapters of my published book titled "Analysis and Forecasting of Financial Time Series: Selected Cases". The book is published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing, New Casle upon Tyne, United Kindoam, in 2022.
In this project, this research generally investigates the financial time series such as the price & return of NASDAQ Composite Index using ARIMA and GARCH methods.
Implied volatility is a key aspect when it comes to derivatives pricing. With the growing influence of machine learning in finance, I have investigated the use of LSTMs to forecast 1-day forward Implied Volatility.
In this notebook, I've loaded historical Dollar-Yen exchange rate futures data. I've applied time series analysis and modeling to determine whether there is any predictable behavior.