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Home
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The COVID-19 Forecast Hub
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As of Wednesday, May 1, 2024, the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub stopped accepting forecast submissions. From 2020 to 2024, this site collected real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations, cases and deaths for the US, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe, in coordination with the US CDC.
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Forecast Summaries
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Visualization
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Community
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Forecast Evaluation Dashboard
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Up-to-date forecasts
Every week dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submitted forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US to our [forecast data repository](https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub). In collaboration with the US CDC, we took these data and built a single ensemble forecast which was later analyzed by, and communicated to the general public by CDC.
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Browse past forecast data
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Read more about our weekly updates
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Public health impact
COVID-19 Forecast Hub data were used by the <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/forecasting/mathematical-modeling.html" target="_blank">US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</a> and the data journalism site <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/" target="_blank">FiveThirtyEight</a>. Through these channels, and our [public data repository](https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub), our work served as a vital source of public information about where the outbreak was headed.
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Hospitalization forecasts @ CDC
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Collaborative science
We work collaboratively in an open-science framework, welcoming participation from modeling teams around the globe, who submitted predictions from their best COVID-19 models.
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How to join
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In the news
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[Computer Forecasts, Expert Judgment, And ‘Chimeric Forecasting’ Of Infectious Diseases](https://www.forbes.com/sites/johndrake/2022/11/21/computer-forecasts-expert-judgment-and-chimeric-forecasting-of-infectious-diseases/){:target="_blank"} _Forbes_ | 21 November 2022 [For now, wary US treads water with transformed COVID-19](https://apnews.com/article/covid-science-health-infectious-diseases-fb25f987bab09a11be31a32e832dd9de){:target="_blank"} _AP_ | 3 July 2022
[CDC Says COVID Hospitalizations to Rise in Most States](https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20220519/cdc-says-covid-hospitalizations-to-rise-in-most-states){:target="_blank"} _WebMD_ | 19 May 2022 [New White House Covid projection puzzles experts and catches some Biden officials off guard](https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/12/politics/biden-administration-covid-warnings/index.html){:target="_blank"} _CNN_ | 12 May 2022
[Gov. Tim Walz, Janet Malcolm urge second COVID-19 booster shots for summer](https://www.startribune.com/walz-malcolm-receive-second-covid-19-boosters/600170465/){:target="_blank"} _Star Tribune_ | 4 May 2022 [A devastating milestone looms: 1 million US deaths from COVID-19](https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/04/28/nation/devastating-milestone-looms-1-million-us-deaths-covid-19/){:target="_blank"} _Boston Globe_ | 28 April 2022
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See more
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