Skip to content
New issue

Have a question about this project? Sign up for a free GitHub account to open an issue and contact its maintainers and the community.

By clicking “Sign up for GitHub”, you agree to our terms of service and privacy statement. We’ll occasionally send you account related emails.

Already on GitHub? Sign in to your account

Add Corona model using real data. #60

Open
patnr opened this issue Feb 28, 2021 · 0 comments
Open

Add Corona model using real data. #60

patnr opened this issue Feb 28, 2021 · 0 comments
Assignees
Projects

Comments

@patnr
Copy link
Collaborator

patnr commented Feb 28, 2021

Cross-validate with "future".

Example should say:

- DAPPER is not made to assimilate real data cases.
- It requires a truth time series for its statistics and liveplotting.
- Corona1 model is ridiculously oversimplified, using no compartments.
- It is not chaotic, but highly sensitive to the R parameter,
  which is modulated by societal intervention.
- The biggest question seems to be the modelling of the observation operator.
    - How to deal with numbers counted on different days.
    - How to deal with test volume vs number of positives.
@patnr patnr added this to To do in v3 via automation Feb 28, 2021
@patnr patnr self-assigned this Mar 1, 2021
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment
Projects
v3
To do
Development

No branches or pull requests

1 participant