README.md

simple_epi_calculations

This repo will contain very simple calculations and outputs that may be useful in COVID-19 modelling and planning. Thes should be used with caution - I will try as far as possible to highlight the limitations of the calculations uploaded here. This repo so far contains:

• Simple estimates of the number of students who might be arriving at HE providers in the UK from English regions testing positive for COVID-19, as well as those testing positive for COVID-19 antibodies.
  • https://github.com/magicicada/simple_epi_calculations/tree/master/basic_arriving_student_calculations
• Simple estimates of the number of cases you would expect before the first detected case if we treat the epidemic as a simple exponential process, if you rely only on testing-on-request with no surveillance testing.
  • https://github.com/magicicada/simple_epi_calculations/tree/master/cases_on_detection_from_doubling_time