/
Heuristic Sugarscape.nlogo
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Heuristic Sugarscape.nlogo
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; Food for thought: Emulate the effects of legal process by creating a delay between turtle death and turtle instantiation in order to emulate the effects of waves of legal proceedings.
; Code in network to the model
;
; Create switch for persistence of present proportions. Whena turtle is first hatched,
; if it does not inheret from the parent it will be subject to present probabilities.
; MAY NEED TO DIFFERENTIATE BETWEE WATER BID/ASK AND SUGAR BID/ASK
; add arbitrageur
globals [
gini-index-reserve
lorenz-points
number-of-transactions
deaths
age-of-death-list
num-deaths
deaths-this-tick
; sum-age-deaths
; mean-age-of-death
mean-prices-for-last-fifty-ticks
mean-price-memory-length
mean-expected-price
expected-price-variance
prices-current-tick
mean-price-current-tick
mean-price-last-tick
true-average-price-last-fifty-ticks
number-of-transactions-last-fifty-ticks
total-value-exchange-last-fifty-ticks
sugar-consumed-this-tick
water-consumed-this-tick
total-sugar-consumed
total-water-consumed
winning-sugar-candidate
winning-water-candidate
;;stats lists
population
total-sugar
total-water
sugar-minus-water
ln-equilibrium-price
mean-price
mean-price-50-tick-average
predicted-equilibrium-price
sugar-demand-list
sugar-supply-list
price-variance
sugar-turtles
water-turtles
mean-sugar-reserve-level
mean-water-reserve-level
basic
switcher
herder
arbitrageur
gini-coefficient-list
final-output
distance-from-equilibrium-price
average-mutate-rate
median-mutate-rate
csv-name
filename
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; Class Identifiers
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
percent-basic
percent-arbitrageur
percent-herder
percent-switcher
basic-only
basic-herder
basic-arbitrageur
basic-herder-arbitrageur
switcher-only
switcher-herder
switcher-arbitrageur
switcher-herder-arbitrageur
percent-basic-only
percent-basic-herder
percent-basic-arbitrageur
percent-basic-herder-arbitrageur
percent-switcher-only
percent-switcher-herder
percent-switcher-arbitrageur
percent-switcher-herder-arbitrageur
;; Wealth of Class
wealth-basic
wealth-switcher
wealth-herder
wealth-arbitrageur
wealth-basic-only
wealth-basic-herder
wealth-basic-arbitrageur
wealth-basic-herder-arbitrageur
wealth-switcher-only
wealth-switcher-herder
wealth-switcher-arbitrageur
wealth-switcher-herder-arbitrageur
wealth-per-capita-basic-only
wealth-per-capita-basic-herder
wealth-per-capita-basic-arbitrageur
wealth-per-capita-basic-herder-arbitrageur
wealth-per-capita-switcher-only
wealth-per-capita-switcher-herder
wealth-per-capita-switcher-arbitrageur
wealth-per-capita-switcher-herder-arbitrageur
]
turtles-own [
self-mutate-rate
sugar
sugar-true?
water ;; the amount of sugar this turtle has
water-true?
wealth
ticks-per-switch
ticks-to-switch
metabolism ;; the amount of sugar that each turtles loses each tick
vision ;; the distance that this turtle can see in the horizontal and vertical directions
vision-points
trade-points ;; the points that this turtle can see in relative to it's current position (based on vision)
age ;; the current age of this turtle (in ticks)
max-age ;; the age at which this turtle will die of natural causes
reproductive?
num-offspring
;; used to clean up code
price ;; sugar-bid-price = to bid-price, sugar-price = price
water-price ;; water-price = 1 / price
pricing-strategy
expected-sugar-price
sugar-reserve-level
water-reserve-level
endogenous-rate-of-price-change
past-sugar-price ;; records price of last x trades
price-difference
price-memory
max-wealth-trading-partner
traded? ;; did agent trade this period
;; agent strategies
basic?
herder?
switcher?
arbitrageur?
transaction-price ;; price agreed upon for trade
vert? ;; if turtle must change side of map, must choose to move vertically or horizontally this turn
; Herders use these lists to record stats of known agents, and to copy
who-list
wealth-list
basic?-list
herder?-list
switcher?-list
arbitrageur?-list
price-list
water-price-list
; transaction-price-list
ticks-per-switch-list
max-desired-stock-list
sugar-reserve-level-list
water-reserve-level-list
sugar-true?-list
water-true?-list
]
patches-own [
psugar ;; the amount of sugar on this patch
pwater ;; water on patch
max-psugar ;; the maximum amount of sugar that can be on this patch
max-pwater ;; max water on patch
]
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; Setup Procedures
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to setup
if maximum-sugar-endowment <= minimum-sugar-endowment [
user-message "Oops: the maximum-sugar-endowment must be larger than the minimum-sugar-endowment"
stop
]
if maximum-water-endowment <= minimum-water-endowment [
user-message "Oops: the maximum-water-endowment must be larger than the minimum-sugar-endowment"
stop
]
clear-all
create-turtles initial-population [ turtle-setup ]
setup-patches
update-lorenz-and-gini
setup-lists
prep-csv-name
reset-ticks
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; Setup Patches
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to setup-patches
file-open "sugar-map.txt"
foreach sort patches
[
ask ?
[
; these
set max-psugar file-read
set max-pwater max-psugar
set psugar max-psugar
set pwater max-pwater
]
]
file-close
ask patches[
ifelse pycor <= pxcor[
set max-psugar 0
]
[
set max-pwater 0
]
patch-recolor
]
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; Turtle Setup and Hatch Procedure
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to turtle-setup ;; turtle procedure
set traded? false
set num-offspring 0
set-strategy
;; all agents start with a price-ratio of 1 sugar : 1 water
set price 1
set water-price 1 / price
if herder? [set max-wealth-trading-partner 0]
set vert? false
set self-mutate-rate random-float mutate-rate
move-to one-of patches with [not any? other turtles-here]
set shape "circle"
; arbitrageur agents track past sugar prices
set past-sugar-price 1
; arbitrageur must choose a length of time for considering past prices
if arbitrageur?[ set price-memory 1 + random (max-price-memory - 1)]
; choose initial sugar and water holdings
set sugar random-in-range minimum-sugar-endowment maximum-sugar-endowment
set water random-in-range minimum-water-endowment maximum-water-endowment
set metabolism 1 ; random-in-range 1 4
set max-age random-in-range 600 1000
set age 0
set vision random-in-range 1 max-turtle-vision
set-vision-and-trade-points
;; turtles can look horizontally and vertically up to vision patches
;; but cannot look diagonally at all
; run visualization
end
to set-vision-and-trade-points
set vision-points []
set trade-points []
foreach n-values vision [? + 1]
[
set vision-points sentence vision-points (list (list 0 ?) (list ? 0) (list 0 (- ?)) (list (- ?) 0))
]
foreach n-values 1 [? + 1]
[
set trade-points sentence trade-points (list (list 0 ?) (list ? 0) (list 0 (- ?)) (list (- ?) 0))
]
end
to turtle-hatch ;; turtle procedure
set num-offspring 0
set traded? false
if mutate?
[mutate]
if reproductive? [
ask myself[set num-offspring num-offspring + 1]
]
ifelse age != max-age[
set sugar maximum-sugar-endowment
set water maximum-water-endowment
]
[
set sugar sugar
set water water]
set ticks-to-switch 0
if herder? [set max-wealth-trading-partner 0 ]
move-to one-of patches with [not any? other turtles-here]
set shape "circle"
set past-sugar-price 1
set sugar random-in-range minimum-sugar-endowment maximum-sugar-endowment
set water random-in-range minimum-water-endowment maximum-water-endowment
set metabolism 1;random-in-range 1 4
set max-age random-in-range 600 1000
set age 0
set vision max-turtle-vision; random-in-range 1 max-turtle-vision; random-in-range 1 6
;; turtles can look horizontally and vertically up to vision patches
;; but cannot look diagonally at all
set vision-points []
foreach n-values vision [? + 1]
[
set vision-points sentence vision-points (list (list 0 ?) (list ? 0) (list 0 (- ?)) (list (- ?) 0))
]
; run visualization
end
to check-reproduction
ifelse sugar-reserve-level > maximum-sugar-endowment * 2 and water-reserve-level > maximum-water-endowment * 2
[set reproductive? true]
[set reproductive? false]
end
to set-strategy
; choose agent strategies
ifelse random-float 1 < initial-percent-basic [
set basic? true
set switcher? false
]
[
set basic? false
set switcher? true
]
; switchers choose to mine water or sugar at a given time
ifelse switcher? [
ifelse pycor < pxcor
[set sugar-true? true
set water-true? false]
[set sugar-true? false
set water-true? true]
]
[
;set color red
set sugar-true? false
set water-true? false
]
; agent is switcher if not basic
ifelse random-float 1 < initial-percent-herders
[set herder? true]
[set herder? false]
ifelse random-float 1 < initial-percent-arbitrageurs
[set arbitrageur? true]
[set arbitrageur? false]
;; price that arbitrageur will switch commodities
if endogenous-arbitrageur-choice? [
set-expected-sugar-price
]
set ticks-per-switch random max-ticks-per-switch
; the probablity of selecting a value falls as the value rises
set sugar-reserve-level 1 + (random (sqrt max-reserve-level - 1)) ^ 2
set water-reserve-level 1 + (random (sqrt max-reserve-level - 1)) ^ 2
; ifelse random-float 1 < probability-dynamic-pricing
set pricing-strategy 1
; [set pricing-strategy 1]
set endogenous-rate-of-price-change random-float max-rate-of-endogenous-price-change
end
to mutate
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
set self-mutate-rate random-float mutate-rate
]
mutate-classes
;; scalar required due to limit of random-float size
;if random-float 1 < mutate-rate [set sugar-reserve-level ln (1 + round random-float (e ^ (max-reserve-level - 1))) * reserve-level-scalar]; (random (sqrt max-reserve-level - 1)) ^ 2]
;if random-float 1 < mutate-rate [set water-reserve-level ln (1 + round random-float (e ^ (max-reserve-level - 1))) * reserve-level-scalar];(random (sqrt max-reserve-level - 1)) ^ 2]
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [set sugar-reserve-level 1 + ( random (sqrt max-reserve-level - 1))^ 2]
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [set water-reserve-level 1 + (random (sqrt max-reserve-level - 1))^ 2]
;; Not in use for experiments in Dissertation
if mutate-pricing-strategy? [
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
ifelse pricing-strategy = 0
[set pricing-strategy 1]
[set pricing-strategy 0]
]
]
if mutate-price-rate? [
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
; endogenous-rate-of-price-change governs the magnitude of change in bid-ask prices
set endogenous-rate-of-price-change random-float max-rate-of-endogenous-price-change
]
]
if arbitrageur?[
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
set price-memory 1 + random (max-price-memory - 1)]
]
if endogenous-arbitrageur-choice?[
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
set-expected-sugar-price
]
]
end
to set-expected-sugar-price
let logged-price random-float ln (1 / max-expected-sugar-price) + random-float ln max-expected-sugar-price
; if logged-price < ln (1 / max-expected-sugar-price) [ set logged-price ln (1 / max-expected-sugar-price)]
set expected-sugar-price e ^ (logged-price) ;exp (random-normal 1 1)]
; set expected-sugar-price 1 / max-expected-sugar-price + random-float (max-expected-sugar-price - 1 / max-expected-sugar-price) ;exp (random-normal 1 1)]
end
to mutate-classes
if mutate-basic?[
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
ifelse basic? = false
[
set basic? true
set switcher? false]
[
set basic? false
set switcher? true
set ticks-per-switch random 100]
]
]
if mutate-herder?[
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
ifelse herder? = false
[set herder? true]
[set herder? false]
]
]
if mutate-arbitrageur? [
if random-float 1 < self-mutate-rate [
ifelse arbitrageur? = false
[set arbitrageur? true]
[set arbitrageur? false]
]
]
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; Runtime Procedures
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to go
reset-global-stats
set prices-current-tick []
set age-of-death-list []
if not any? turtles [
stop
]
ask patches [
patch-growback
patch-recolor
]
; change metabolism if model includes shock
if ticks = period-of-shock[
set sugar-metabolism-scalar sugar-metabolism-scalar * (1 + shock-size)
set water-metabolism-scalar water-metabolism-scalar / (1 + shock-size)
]
ask turtles[
set traded? false
; color represents class
; size represents wealth
set-color-size
;Wealth is calculated as: good / (metabolism rate for good)
update-wealth
if Trade? [
; agents set bid-ask price
set-prices
]
turtle-move
;consume sugar, add good from patch to personal stock
turtle-eat
if Trade?[
; find neighbor, bargain, trade
trade
]
set age (age + 1)
; die if agent runs out of sugar or water
if sugar <= 0 or water <= 0 [
set age-of-death-list lput age age-of-death-list
die
]
if age > max-age [
hatch 1
[
turtle-hatch
]
set age-of-death-list lput age age-of-death-list
die
]
check-reproduction
if reproductive? [
if num-offspring < max-offspring [
if sugar > sugar-reserve-level and water > water-reserve-level [
if sugar > maximum-sugar-endowment * 2 and water > maximum-water-endowment * 2 [
hatch 1
[
turtle-hatch
]
set sugar sugar - maximum-sugar-endowment
set water water - maximum-water-endowment
]
]
]
]
if herder?[set max-wealth-trading-partner .99 * max-wealth-trading-partner ]
; run visualization
]
reset-global-lists
update-lorenz-and-gini
prepare-behavior-space-output
calculate-statistics
write-csv csv-name final-output
tick
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; Turtle Exchange Procedures
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to set-prices
if sugar > 0 and water > 0[
; dynamic pricing
if price - endogenous-rate-of-price-change * (ln(sugar / sugar-reserve-level) - ln(water / water-reserve-level)) > 0 and pricing-strategy = 0 [
set price price - endogenous-rate-of-price-change * (ln(sugar / sugar-reserve-level) - ln(water / water-reserve-level))
];set water-price 1 / price]
]
; static pricing
if pricing-strategy = 1[
if water > water-reserve-level[
if price < (1 / rate-of-price-change)[
raise-price
]]
if water < water-reserve-level [
if price > rate-of-price-change [
lower-price]] ; must have enough sugar to enact bid
if sugar > sugar-reserve-level[
if price > rate-of-price-change [
lower-price]] ; must have enough water to enact bid
if sugar < sugar-reserve-level [
if price < ( 1 / rate-of-price-change)[
raise-price]]
]
set water-price 1 / price
adjust-target-reserve-levels
end
to adjust-target-reserve-levels
; reserve levels rise if there is excess of both goods relative to target
if sugar - sugar-reserve-level > 0 and water - water-reserve-level > 0 [
set sugar-reserve-level sugar-reserve-level * 1.01
set water-reserve-level water-reserve-level * 1.01
]
if sugar - sugar-reserve-level < 0 and water - water-reserve-level < 0 [
; reserve levels falls if there is shortage of both goods relative to target
set sugar-reserve-level sugar-reserve-level / 1.01
set water-reserve-level water-reserve-level / 1.01 ]
end
to lower-price
set price price / (1 + random-float rate-of-price-change)
end
to raise-price
set price price * (1 + random-float rate-of-price-change)
end
to set-color-size
if basic? [
if herder? = false and arbitrageur? = false[ set color black]
if herder? and arbitrageur? = false[set color grey]
if herder? = false and arbitrageur? [ set color red]
if herder? and arbitrageur?[set color orange]
]
if switcher?[
if herder? = false and arbitrageur? = false[ set color brown]
if herder? and arbitrageur? = false[set color yellow]
if herder? = false and arbitrageur? [set color green]
if herder? and arbitrageur?[set color lime]
]
set size .25 * ln(sugar + water)
end
to update-wealth
set wealth sugar / sugar-metabolism-scalar + water / water-metabolism-scalar
end
to turtle-move ;; turtle procedure
let move-candidates (patch-set patch-here (patches at-points vision-points) with [not any? turtles-here])
; movement for unaugmented Basic
if sugar-true? = false and water-true? = false [
let winning-candidate move-candidates with-max [psugar + pwater] ; choose the patch with the most resources
if any? winning-candidate [
move-to min-one-of winning-candidate [distance myself]
]
]
;; switcher and arbitrageur moves
if sugar-true? [
let possible-winners-sugar move-candidates with-max [psugar]
ifelse any? possible-winners-sugar and max [psugar] of possible-winners-sugar > 0; and pcolor <= yellow + 4.9
[
move-to min-one-of possible-winners-sugar [distance myself]
]
[
if vert?[
facexy [pxcor] of self [pycor] of self + 1
fd vision
set vert? false
]
if vert? = false[
facexy [pxcor] of self - 1 [pycor] of self
fd vision
set vert? true
]
]
]
if water-true? [
let possible-winners-water move-candidates with-max [pwater]
ifelse any? possible-winners-water and max [pwater] of possible-winners-water > 0; and pcolor >= blue + .9
[
move-to min-one-of possible-winners-water [distance myself]
]
[
if vert?[
facexy [pxcor] of self [pycor] of self - 1
fd vision
set vert? false
]
if vert? = false[
facexy [pxcor] of self + 1 [pycor] of self
fd vision
set vert? true
]
]
]
update-switcher-arbitrageur-preferences
end
to trade
;; When trading, agents must be sure to have enough resources to trade. This is defined in the while loop conditions
;; Also, not that the water price is the inverse of the (sugar) price. These are reestablished at the end of the run
let trade-candidates (turtles at-points trade-points)
ifelse global-trade? = false
[ifelse trade-vision-distance? = false
[set winning-sugar-candidate one-of trade-candidates with [(sugar - sugar-reserve-level) > 0]]
[let vision-trade-candidates (turtles at-points vision-points)
set winning-sugar-candidate one-of vision-trade-candidates with [(sugar - sugar-reserve-level) > 0]]]
[ set winning-sugar-candidate one-of turtles with [sugar - sugar-reserve-level > 0]]
if sugar < sugar-reserve-level and water > water-reserve-level [
if winning-sugar-candidate != nobody [ ; running low on sugar, enough water to trade
let candidate-price [price] of winning-sugar-candidate
set-exchange-price price candidate-price
ask winning-sugar-candidate [set transaction-price [transaction-price] of myself]
execute-trades winning-sugar-candidate transaction-price true
]
]
; ]
; the bid-price for water is the inverse of an agent's price for sugar (your willingness to accept for water is equal to willingnes to pay for sugar)
; the price for water is the inverse of an agent's bid-price for sugar
ifelse global-trade? = false
[ifelse trade-vision-distance? = false
[set winning-water-candidate one-of trade-candidates with [(water - water-reserve-level) > 0]]
[let vision-trade-candidates (turtles at-points vision-points)
set winning-water-candidate one-of vision-trade-candidates with [(water - water-reserve-level) > 0]]]
[ set winning-water-candidate one-of turtles with [water - water-reserve-level > 0]]
if sugar > sugar-reserve-level and water < water-reserve-level [
if winning-water-candidate != nobody [
let candidate-price [water-price] of winning-water-candidate
set-exchange-price water-price candidate-price
ask winning-water-candidate [set transaction-price [transaction-price] of myself]
execute-trades winning-water-candidate transaction-price false
]
]
;]
ifelse show-price?
[set label int transaction-price]
[set label ""]
end
to execute-trades [ candidate p sugar? ]
if p != 0 [
trade-loop candidate p sugar?
ask candidate [
if herder? [
if [wealth] of myself > max-wealth-trading-partner[
if [wealth] of myself > wealth[
set max-wealth-trading-partner [wealth] of myself
set basic? [basic?] of myself
set switcher? [switcher?] of myself
set arbitrageur? [arbitrageur?] of myself
if arbitrageur? [set expected-sugar-price [expected-sugar-price] of myself]
set ticks-per-switch [ticks-per-switch] of myself
; set sugar-reserve-level [sugar-reserve-level] of myself
; set water-reserve-level [water-reserve-level] of myself
]
]
]
]
if herder? [
if [wealth] of candidate > wealth[
if [wealth] of candidate > max-wealth-trading-partner[
set max-wealth-trading-partner [wealth] of candidate
set basic? [basic?] of candidate
set switcher? [switcher?] of candidate
set arbitrageur? [arbitrageur?] of candidate
if arbitrageur? [set expected-sugar-price [expected-sugar-price] of candidate]
set ticks-per-switch [ticks-per-switch] of candidate
; set sugar-reserve-level [sugar-reserve-level] of candidate
; set water-reserve-level [water-reserve-level] of candidate
]
]
]
; record-prices
set traded? true ;; use traded? to identify transaction prices of period
ask candidate[
; record-prices
set traded? true
]
]
end
to set-exchange-price[my-price candidate-price]
if my-price > candidate-price [
set transaction-price ln candidate-price + (random-float (ln (my-price) - ln candidate-price)) ; price in units of sugar per unit of water
set transaction-price e ^ transaction-price]
end
to trade-loop[candidate p sugar?]
; agents trade one good at a time until the conditions for trading is no longer satifisfied
ifelse sugar?[
while [[sugar] of candidate > [sugar-reserve-level] of candidate and water > water-reserve-level and water > p] ; winning candidate will trade if sugar above reserve level
[
set sugar sugar + 1
set water water - p
if arbitrageur?[record-prices price true]
ask candidate [
set sugar sugar - 1
set water water + p
if arbitrageur?[record-prices price true]
]
set prices-current-tick lput ln p prices-current-tick
]
]
[while[[water] of candidate > [water-reserve-level] of candidate and sugar > sugar-reserve-level and sugar > (p) ]
[
set water water + 1
set sugar sugar - p
if arbitrageur?[record-prices p false]
ask winning-water-candidate [
set water water - 1
set sugar sugar + p
if arbitrageur?[record-prices p false]
]
set prices-current-tick lput ln (1 / p) prices-current-tick
]
]
end
to record-prices [p sugar?]
; expect sugar price is a belief about the price of sugar in equilibrium
; if the price of sugar is greater than I believe it should be, then price-difference < 0
if not sugar?[ set p 1 / p]
set past-sugar-price (p + past-sugar-price * price-memory) / (price-memory + 1)
set price-difference (expected-sugar-price - past-sugar-price ); / expected-sugar-price
end
to update-switcher-arbitrageur-preferences
if switcher?[ set ticks-to-switch ticks-to-switch + 1
if sugar-true? [
if ticks-to-switch = ticks-per-switch[ ; or water < water-reserve-level [
set sugar-true? false
set water-true? true
;;switcher rate adjusts according to ratio of consumption-rates
if economic-switching?[set ticks-per-switch ticks-per-switch * (water-metabolism-scalar / sugar-metabolism-scalar)]
set ticks-to-switch 0]
]
if water-true? [
if ticks-to-switch = ticks-per-switch
[; or sugar < sugar-reserve-level [
set sugar-true? true
set water-true? false
if economic-switching?[ set ticks-per-switch ticks-per-switch * (sugar-metabolism-scalar / water-metabolism-scalar)]
set ticks-to-switch 0]
]
]
if arbitrageur? [; and water > water-reserve-level and sugar > sugar-reserve-level[
if endogenous-arbitrageur-choice? [
; if sugar is more expensive then I think it should be in equilibrium, mine sugar
ifelse price-difference < 0 [
set sugar-true? true
set water-true? false
]
[ if price-difference > 0 [
set sugar-true? false
set water-true? true]
]
]
; if endogenous-arbitrageur-choice? = false[
; ifelse price-difference > 0[
; set sugar-true? true
; set water-true? false
; ]
; [
; set sugar-true? false
; set water-true? true
; ]
; ]
]
end
to-report max-item [ #wealth-list]
let $max-value first #wealth-list
let $max-item 0
let $item 1
foreach but-first #wealth-list
[ if ? > $max-value [ set $max-value ? set $max-item $item]
set $item $item + 1
]
report $max-item
end
to turtle-eat ;; turtle procedure
;; metabolize some sugar, and eat all the sugar on the current patch
;
; ifelse random 1 < .5 [
; set sugar (sugar - metabolism * sugar-metabolism-scalar + psugar)
; set psugar 0
; set water (water - metabolism * water-metabolism-scalar + pwater)
; set pwater 0]
set water (water - metabolism * water-metabolism-scalar + pwater)
set pwater 0
set sugar (sugar - metabolism * sugar-metabolism-scalar + psugar)
set psugar 0
if sugar > 0 [set sugar-consumed-this-tick sugar-consumed-this-tick + sugar-metabolism-scalar * metabolism]
if water > 0[set water-consumed-this-tick water-consumed-this-tick + water-metabolism-scalar * metabolism]
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; patch recovery
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to patch-recolor ;; patch procedure
;; color patches based on the amount of sugar they have
ifelse max-psugar > 0 [
set pcolor (yellow + 4.9 - psugar)
]
[
ifelse max-pwater > 0 [
set pcolor (blue + 4.9 - pwater)
]
[
set pcolor (yellow + 4.9)
]
]
end
to patch-growback ;; patch procedure
;; gradually grow back all of the sugar for the patch
set psugar min (list max-psugar (psugar + 1))
set pwater min (list max-pwater (pwater + 1))
end
to setup-lists
set mean-prices-for-last-fifty-ticks []
set prices-current-tick []
set number-of-transactions-last-fifty-ticks []
set total-value-exchange-last-fifty-ticks []
; set sugar-demand-list [][]
; set sugar-supply-list [][]
set ln-equilibrium-price ln (sugar-metabolism-scalar / water-metabolism-scalar)
end
to reset-global-stats
set total-sugar-consumed total-sugar-consumed + sugar-consumed-this-tick
set total-water-consumed total-water-consumed + water-consumed-this-tick
set sugar-consumed-this-tick 0
set water-consumed-this-tick 0
end