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Allow user to specify R0 (in lieu of doubling time) #18

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sam-writer opened this issue Mar 17, 2020 · 4 comments
Open

Allow user to specify R0 (in lieu of doubling time) #18

sam-writer opened this issue Mar 17, 2020 · 4 comments
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enhancement New feature or request hospital-request A hospital needs this to make a decision python wontfix This will not be worked on

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@sam-writer
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Calculation (extends "more info about this tool"):

We can compute the implicit $R_0$ from our doubling time inputs and our assumed duration of infectiousness $(1/\gamma)$. Since $R_0$ is the number of additional individuals infected by each infected individual when $I << S$, we can compute the growth rate $g$ as a function of $R_0$ and $\gamma$:
$$g = \gamma R_0 $$
From our previous equation for $g$, we can substitute and rearrange to find:
$$R_0 = (2^{1/T_d} - 1)/\gamma$$

So, for our $\gamma$ of 1/14 days, a doubling time of 4 days corresponds to an $R_0$ of 2.65.

@sam-writer sam-writer added enhancement New feature or request python labels Mar 17, 2020
@sam-writer
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@cjbayesian is this already implemented?

@sam-writer sam-writer added the hospital-request A hospital needs this to make a decision label Mar 17, 2020
@cjbayesian
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We opted to display the R0 being implied at the doubling rate specified. We also now display the effective R0 conditional on social distancing.

I think we can close this.

@mishmosh mishmosh added this to Ready in DevOps Mar 19, 2020
@mdbecker
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@sam-qordoba I think this is a won't-fix. Can you see a reason to do otherwise?

@mdbecker mdbecker removed this from Ready: Python in DevOps Mar 19, 2020
@sam-writer
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This seems like a wont-fix to me as well. Though, as we try to make the code more modular, one goal can be if the user imports the code to use in python, they should be able to specify R_0

@mishmosh mishmosh added this to Inbox, Unprocessed in Analysis via automation Mar 21, 2020
@BrittanyIstenes BrittanyIstenes removed this from Inbox, Unprocessed in Analysis Mar 31, 2020
@BrittanyIstenes BrittanyIstenes added this to Inbox, Unprocessed in App Platform via automation Mar 31, 2020
@BrianThomasRoss BrianThomasRoss added the wontfix This will not be worked on label Apr 29, 2020
@BrianThomasRoss BrianThomasRoss removed this from Inbox, Unprocessed in App Platform May 2, 2020
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Labels
enhancement New feature or request hospital-request A hospital needs this to make a decision python wontfix This will not be worked on
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