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1. Problem

Is Travel Modeling Science or Engineering?

Merriam Webster defines science and engineering as follows:

Science:

Knowledge about or study of the natural world based on facts learned through experiments and observation.

Engineering:

[A] The application of science and mathematics by which the properties of matter and the sources of energy in nature are made useful to people.

[B] The design and manufacture of complex products.

It could be argued that various aspects of travel modeling exists as either a science or engineering discipline as follows:

Science

Aspects of travel modeling that are directly observable and can be empirically tested to support a theory

  • travel behavior research including psychology, sociology, and behavioral economics
  • traffic flow theory, car following behavior
  • network analysis
  • etc.

Engineering

Aspects of travel modeling that synthesize the science and mathematics into something useful to people include:

  • ridership forecasting
  • project level forecasting
  • discrete choice model estimation results
  • long-range forecasting
  • toll-road forecasting
  • etc.

What has been historically been described as "travel model development" fits in with Webster's second definition of Engineering, as the design and manufacture of complex products:

  • discrete choice modeling
  • agent-based modeling
  • activity-based travel models
  • aggregate, four-step travel models
  • dynamic traffic assignment
  • static traffic assignment
  • etc.

From Science to Engineering

Travel forecasting practice lacks a rigorous approach to (A) prioritizing advances in science that will result in more usefulness to people as well as (B) synthesizing these advances into engineering practice.

Next: 2 - Defining Features of Science