This project predicts the results of the World Cup by simulating it 10,000 times.
Each team's probabilities are based off of updated games completed in the World Cup, Elo Ratings, and SPI ratings.
You can find both the Group Stage Forecast and the Knockout Stage Forceast, which includes the probability of each team winning the World Cup.
Updates are made after the completion of ALL matches on a particular day for the Group Stage and after the completion of all games for a particular Knockout Round.
The chances of each side remaining in the 2022 FIFA World Cup are indicated below:
| Team | Win World Cup |
|---|---|
| Argentina | 54% |
| France | 46% |