From 8764ee5539af790170684f036d1314f523a0d8bb Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: hdoupe Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain. Accuracy notes Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain. Accuracy notes Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain. Accuracy notes Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
- Accuracy notesStatic modeling (Step 1)
-
- Blow-up factors
- Aggregate and distributional targetsStatic modeling (Step 1)
-
- Blow-up factors
- Aggregate and distributional targetsStatic modeling (Step 1)
-
- Blow-up factors
- Aggregate and distributional targetsStatic modeling (Step 1)
-
+
- Blow-up factors
- Aggregate and distributional targets
The Python code that performs the tax calculations has been validated in a number of ways. First, Tax-Calculator results for a number of tax filing diff --git a/templates/dynamic/landing.html b/templates/dynamic/landing.html index bd7296c6..64872050 100644 --- a/templates/dynamic/landing.html +++ b/templates/dynamic/landing.html @@ -74,14 +74,7 @@
Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Accuracy notes
diff --git a/templates/dynamic/results.html b/templates/dynamic/results.html index f6bb52a1..5749dbbe 100644 --- a/templates/dynamic/results.html +++ b/templates/dynamic/results.html @@ -72,14 +72,7 @@Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Accuracy notes
diff --git a/templates/taxbrain/input_file.html b/templates/taxbrain/input_file.html index dee544e7..07441a66 100644 --- a/templates/taxbrain/input_file.html +++ b/templates/taxbrain/input_file.html @@ -77,14 +77,7 @@Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Accuracy notes
diff --git a/templates/taxbrain/input_form.html b/templates/taxbrain/input_form.html index 01f4816a..d1a46642 100644 --- a/templates/taxbrain/input_form.html +++ b/templates/taxbrain/input_form.html @@ -78,14 +78,7 @@Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Accuracy notes
From 0aae6db246c33ebf549c8454f8e18d1b50dd87fe Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: hdoupePolicymakers increasingly rely on computational models to predict the budgetary and broader economic impacts of current and proposed policies, especially those involving taxes and entitlements. Estimates from these models often determine a bill\u2019s success or failure in the legislative process and public sphere.
\r\n\r\nThe Open Source Policy Center's first focus is supporting community-driven projects that analyze the budgetary and broader economic impact of taxes. These models are completely transparent and freely available to researchers across the country. OSPC also provides an easy-to-use online interface that allows students, policymakers, journalists, and informed citizens to interact with the models and learn for themselves about the effects of policies.
\r\n", "slug": "about_bottom", "header": ""}, "pk": 1, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The Open Source Policy Center is making policy analysis more transparent, trustworthy, and collaborative by supporting open-source projects that build cutting-edge economic models.
\r\n", "slug": "about_top", "header": ""}, "pk": 2, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A LABORATORY FOR PREDICTING THE EFFECTS OF PUBLIC POLICY
", "slug": "home_top_overview", "header": ""}, "pk": 3, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "All of the projects we incubate are freely available and we encourage peer review.
", "slug": "home_left_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 5, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "You can run the models yourself through our webapp interface or by downloading the code and using it with your own data.
", "slug": "home_center_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 7, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "We welcome anyone, whether you are a modeler, software developer, economist, or policy analyst, to help improve and expand the suite of models.
", "slug": "home_right_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 9, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The code repository", "slug": "home_left_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 10, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Our first web app", "slug": "home_center_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 11, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Getting started guide", "slug": "home_right_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 12, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A simulator to analyze the budgetary impact of taxes.
", "slug": "home_taxbrain_subtitle", "header": ""}, "pk": 13, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Over the coming months we will release many new features on TaxBrain. Sign up for our mailing list to learn more about the project.
", "slug": "home_taxbrain_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 14, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "We document the economics, data, and software behind our models.
", "slug": "home_contributor_left_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 15, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "All of our code is available on Github.com.
", "slug": "home_contributor_center_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 16, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "View Documentation", "slug": "home_contributor_left_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 17, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Visit Our Code Repositories", "slug": "home_contributor_center_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 18, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Join the Modeling Community", "slug": "home_contributor_right_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 19, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Start with our getting started guide.
", "slug": "home_contributor_right_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 20, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The Open Source Policy Center is dedicated to encouraging good policy by making policy analysis more transparent, accessible, and collaborative.
", "slug": "footer_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 21, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A platform for accessing open-source tax models.
", "slug": "taxbrain_subheader", "header": ""}, "pk": 22, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_exemptions_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 23, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_standarddeduction_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 24, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_itemized_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 25, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_adjustments_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 26, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_socsec_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 27, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_credit_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 28, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_investment_taxes_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 29, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Background information coming soon.
", "slug": "taxbrain_personal_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 30, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_amt_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 31, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
\r\n\r\nThroughout this process, if you have a question about how to use TaxBrain or interpret the results, if you want to make a suggestion for making the interface or underlying models better, or if you discover a bug, please send a message to our mailing list, which you can join at list.ospc.org/mailman/listinfo/users_list.ospc.org.
\r\n\r\nDisclaimer\r\n\r\n
Proper use of this tool and description of that use is ultimately your responsibility. If you plan on publishing your results, I highly recommend that you confirm with the community that you are using the tools properly and interpreting the results correctly before you publish them. If you have a compelling reason not to leave a public note on the mailing list, email me at matt.jensen@aei.org.
\r\n\r\nResults will change as the underlying models improve. A fundamental reason for adopting open source methods in this project is to let people from all backgrounds contribute to the models that our society uses to assess economic policy; when community-contributed improvements are incorporated, the models will produce different results.
\r\n\r\nNeither the Open Source Policy Center nor the American Enterprise Institute maintain institutional positions, and the results from models accessible via the TaxBrain interface should not be attributed directly to OSPC or AEI. A suggested acknowledgement is, \"We thank AEI for making TaxBrain available, but we bear sole responsibility for the use of the models and any conclusions drawn.\"
\r\n\r\n- Matt Jensen, managing director and founder of the Open Source Policy Center
", "slug": "taxbrain_what_is_taxbrain_dropdown", "header": ""}, "pk": 32, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A platform for accessing OSPC's open-source tax models.
", "slug": "taxbrain_footer", "header": ""}, "pk": 33, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Toggle the CPI control to indicate whether a parameter should be adjusted for inflation.
\r\n\r\nEnter comma-separated values into a field to indicate the multiple years of tax law. \r\nDO NOT use commas as thousands separators.
\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n", "slug": "taxbrain_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 34, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Distribution and Revenue Tables for Federal Individual Income Taxes", "slug": "taxbrain_results_header", "header": ""}, "pk": 35, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Caution: this model is highly preliminary!
\r\nOG-USA is an open source economic dynamic general equilibrium model intended to evaluate U.S. tax policy. The model code and detailed documentation is available at http://www.github.com/open-source-economics/OG-USA.
\r\n\r\nOG-USA is an overlapping-generations model comprised of households, perfectly competitive firms, and a government with a balanced budget requirement. Firms make a static profit maximization decision in which they rent capital and hire labor to maximize profits given a Cobb-Douglas production function. The government levies taxes on individuals and makes lump sum transfers to individuals according to a balanced budget constraint. In the version deployed through TaxBrain, the model is scaled-down to have a single, representative household for each generation and simple tax functions. A detailed description of the model is available here.
\r\n\r\nIt is important to note a few caveats for OG-USA and the results available on TaxBrain:
\r\n\r\nOG-USA interacts with Tax-Calculator, an open source economic microsimulation model available at www.github.com/open-source-economics/tax-calculator. It does so in the following way. The user enters changes to the individual income tax code he wishes to evaluate via the TaxBrain interface. These tax policy parameters are then used to recompute marginal and effective tax rates for individuals in the microdata underlying Tax-Calculator. These marginal and effective tax rates are then use to estimate marginal and effective tax rates faced by the households in OG-USA, thereby determining how model households respond to changes in tax policy.
\r\n\r\nHow to cite
\r\n\r\nThese results were generated with the community developed and open source economic model OG-USA, accessed via version xx.xx.xx of TaxBrain, an interface hosted by AEI's Open Source Policy Center. The exact simulation modeled here is available at www.ospc.org/taxbrain/dynamic/results/NNNNNN. The results are solely the responsibility of the author.
\r\n\r\n \r\nProject Maintainers (OG-USA modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\n
*These members review open source contributions for the OG-USA modeling effort.\r\n\r\n
**The contact information for Professors DeBacker and Evans will be updated in the coming months to reflect their new positions at the University of South Carolina and University of Chicago, respectively.
\r\n", "slug": "dynamic_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 36, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "In the context of policy analysis, dynamic modeling incorporates behavior that affects the aggregate output of the economy. This broad definition includes nearly every type of economic analysis except for the approach most often used in the analysis of tax and spending policy proposals by agencies in the federal government.
\r\n\r\nThere is no single \"accepted\" way to estimate the dynamic effects of policy reforms, so TaxBrain is designed to encourage users to try several approaches and to grapple seriously with the limitations and tradeoffs of each approach. Please pay close attention to the descriptions of each model and send a message to the TaxBrain community mailing list if you have questions. You can join the mailing list at list.ospc.org/mailman/listinfo/users_list.ospc.org.
\r\n\r\nThe open source project maintainers are working hard to expand the capabilities of these models and would appreciate a hand if there are limitations that frustrate you.
\r\n\r\nFinally, if you are an economist with a dynamic model that you would like to make available on TaxBrain, please write to the mailing list or to me at matt.jensen@aei.org.
\r\n\r\n- Matt Jensen, managing director and founder of the Open Source Policy Center
\r\n\r\n", "slug": "dynamic_landing_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 37, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The partial equilibrium (PE) model answers the question \"How would taxpayer behavior (income and deductions) influence the estimate if all other prices in the economy could stay the same?\" It relies on estimates of the elasticity of taxable income with respect to tax policy and is useful for summarizing the power and direction of a reform's effect on the economy.
\r\n\r\nThe actual effects of a tax policy would generally differ from that predicted by the PE model in a manner that depends on other elasticities and legislative changes. In particular the elasticity of demand for labor, deductible goods, savings, investment, monetary policy, and other factors will moderate the outcome. Because the PE model does not include those effects, it is not a reliable estimate of a tax policy's full effects.
\r\n\r\nJohn Creedy's \"The Elasticity of Taxable Income: A Non-Technical Summary\" shows how to use the PE behavioral responses for determining the efficiency effect of a tax reform. In \"The Elasticity of Taxable Income with Respect to Marginal Tax Rates: A Critical Review,\" Saez, Slemrod and Giertz review various estimates of the critical parameters. The Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) and Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimate the persistent capital gains elasticity in their \"New Evidence on the Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains\".
\r\n\r\nThe PE approach is similar to the \"conventional\" modeling conducted by government agencies for the budgeting process in that both approaches allow for taxpayers to change their behavior in response to policy reforms. The difference is that the PE model allows those behavioral changes to influence Gross National Product (GNP), whereas JCT and the Office of Tax Analysis (OTA) at the Treasury Department hold GNP fixed.
\r\n\r\nThe PE model is implemented by applying the behavioral elasticities at the individual taxpayer level. The source code for the implementation is available in the behavior module of the open source Tax-Calculator model . \r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\n \r\nCore Maintainers (PE modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\n
*These members review open source contributions to the sections of the Tax-Calculator repository relevant to PE modeling.
", "slug": "dynamic_behavior_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 38, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "This approach answers the question, \"how would taxpayer behavior (income and deductions) affect revenue if all other prices in the economy could stay the same?\"
", "slug": "dynamic_behavioral_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 39, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "elastic_dynamic_subheader", "header": ""}, "pk": 40, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "
This approach harnesses econometric estimates of the historical relationship between tax policy and the macroeconomy to predict the effect of tax reforms on growth.
", "slug": "dynamic_macro_el_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 41, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
\r\n\r\nThroughout this process, if you have a question about how to use TaxBrain or interpret the results, if you want to make a suggestion for making the interface or underlying models better, or if you discover a bug, please send a message to our mailing list, which you can join at list.ospc.org/mailman/listinfo/users_list.ospc.org.
\r\n\r\nDisclaimer\r\n\r\n
Proper use of this tool and description of that use is ultimately your responsibility. If you plan on publishing your results, I highly recommend that you confirm with the community that you are using the tools properly and interpreting the results correctly before you publish them. If you have a compelling reason not to leave a public note on the mailing list, email me at matt.jensen@aei.org.
\r\n\r\nResults will change as the underlying models improve. A fundamental reason for adopting open source methods in this project is to let people from all backgrounds contribute to the models that our society uses to assess economic policy; when community-contributed improvements are incorporated, the models will produce different results.
\r\n\r\nNeither the Open Source Policy Center nor the American Enterprise Institute maintain institutional positions, and the results from models accessible via the TaxBrain interface should not be attributed directly to OSPC or AEI. A suggested acknowledgement is, \"We thank AEI for making TaxBrain available, but we bear sole responsibility for the use of the models and any conclusions drawn.\"
\r\n\r\n- Matt Jensen, managing director and founder of the Open Source Policy Center
\r\n\r\nStatic tax analysis entails computing individuals' tax changes under the assumption that behavior does not change in response to tax policy. Static analyses are useful for understanding the mechanistic effects of tax policy changes, and they form the basis to which behavior is applied for dynamic analyses. \r\n\r\n
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
\r\nTransparency and Replicability
\r\n\r\nIn addition to relying on open source models, we are devoted to making it easy for reviewers to understand the models even if they can't understand the source code or don't have access to the underlying data. Toward that end we produce several additional reports to enhance transparency, peer review, collaboration and a scientific advancement.
\r\n\r\nNote that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
\r\n\r\nAccuracy notes
\r\n\r\nThe Python code that performs the tax calculations has been validated in a\r\nnumber of ways. First, Tax-Calculator results for a number of tax filing\r\nunits have been compared to hand calculations performed using IRS tax\r\nforms. Second, Tax-Calculator results for a large sample of tax filing units\r\nhave been compared to results for the same sample generated by a\r\ndetailed SAS program developed by Dan\r\nFeenberg and Ina Shapiro of NBER. Third, a subset of input variables has been used to compare the results of Tax-Calculator to Internet TAXSIM as well as against the Policy Simulation Group's PENSIM tax module
\r\n\r\nBugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
\r\n\r\n\r\nCore Maintainers (static modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\nThese members have \"write access\" to one or both of the core static modeling repositories, Tax-Calculator and TaxData, and work as a team to determine which open source contributions are accepted.
", "slug": "taxbrain_above_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 42, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "This approach harnesses econometric estimates of the historic relationship between tax policy and the macroeconomy to predict the effect of tax reforms on growth.
\r\n\r\nIn particular, this model relies on estimates of how GDP responds to changes in the average after tax rate on wage income across all taxpayers (one minus the average marginal tax rate, or 1 - AMTR). These estimates are derived from calculations of income-weighted marginal tax rates under the baseline and reform using Tax-Calculator with baseline data from TaxData. An example of the implementation is available here.
\r\n\r\nEvidence for this parameter can be found in Barro and Redlick's \"Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases and Taxes.\" In particular, Barro and Redlick find that a 1 percentage point increase in the AMTR leads to a 0.54 percent increase in GDP. Evaluated at the sample mean, this translates to an elasticity of GDP with respect to the average after tax rate of 0.36.
\r\n\r\nKarel Mertens' \"Marginal Tax Rates and Income: New Time Series Evidence\" contains additional evidence, focused on tax cuts affecting the upper part of the income distribution.
\r\n\r\nBoth Mertens and Karel tentatively conclude that the effect stems from marginal rather than average tax rates.
\r\n\r\n\r\n \r\nCore Maintainer (Macro elasticity modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\n
This approach answers the question, \"how does tax policy affect macroeconomic aggregates and prices?\"", "slug": "dynamic_olg_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 44, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}] \ No newline at end of file +[{"fields": {"content": "
Policymakers increasingly rely on computational models to predict the budgetary and broader economic impacts of current and proposed policies, especially those involving taxes and entitlements. Estimates from these models often determine a bill\u2019s success or failure in the legislative process and public sphere.
\r\n\r\nThe Open Source Policy Center's first focus is supporting community-driven projects that analyze the budgetary and broader economic impact of taxes. These models are completely transparent and freely available to researchers across the country. OSPC also provides an easy-to-use online interface that allows students, policymakers, journalists, and informed citizens to interact with the models and learn for themselves about the effects of policies.
\r\n", "slug": "about_bottom", "header": ""}, "pk": 1, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The Open Source Policy Center is making policy analysis more transparent, trustworthy, and collaborative by supporting open-source projects that build cutting-edge economic models.
\r\n", "slug": "about_top", "header": ""}, "pk": 2, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A LABORATORY FOR PREDICTING THE EFFECTS OF PUBLIC POLICY
", "slug": "home_top_overview", "header": ""}, "pk": 3, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "All of the projects we incubate are freely available and we encourage peer review.
", "slug": "home_left_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 5, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "You can run the models yourself through our webapp interface or by downloading the code and using it with your own data.
", "slug": "home_center_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 7, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "We welcome anyone, whether you are a modeler, software developer, economist, or policy analyst, to help improve and expand the suite of models.
", "slug": "home_right_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 9, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The code repository", "slug": "home_left_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 10, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Our first web app", "slug": "home_center_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 11, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Getting started guide", "slug": "home_right_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 12, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A simulator to analyze the budgetary impact of taxes.
", "slug": "home_taxbrain_subtitle", "header": ""}, "pk": 13, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Over the coming months we will release many new features on TaxBrain. Sign up for our mailing list to learn more about the project.
", "slug": "home_taxbrain_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 14, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "We document the economics, data, and software behind our models.
", "slug": "home_contributor_left_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 15, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "All of our code is available on Github.com.
", "slug": "home_contributor_center_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 16, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "View Documentation", "slug": "home_contributor_left_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 17, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Visit Our Code Repositories", "slug": "home_contributor_center_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 18, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Join the Modeling Community", "slug": "home_contributor_right_link", "header": ""}, "pk": 19, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Start with our getting started guide.
", "slug": "home_contributor_right_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 20, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The Open Source Policy Center is dedicated to encouraging good policy by making policy analysis more transparent, accessible, and collaborative.
", "slug": "footer_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 21, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A platform for accessing open-source tax models.
", "slug": "taxbrain_subheader", "header": ""}, "pk": 22, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_exemptions_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 23, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_standarddeduction_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 24, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_itemized_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 25, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_adjustments_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 26, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_socsec_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 27, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_credit_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 28, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_investment_taxes_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 29, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Background information coming soon.
", "slug": "taxbrain_personal_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 30, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "taxbrain_amt_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 31, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
\r\n\r\nThroughout this process, if you have a question about how to use TaxBrain or interpret the results, if you want to make a suggestion for making the interface or underlying models better, or if you discover a bug, please send a message to our mailing list, which you can join at list.ospc.org/mailman/listinfo/users_list.ospc.org.
\r\n\r\nDisclaimer\r\n\r\n
Proper use of this tool and description of that use is ultimately your responsibility. If you plan on publishing your results, I highly recommend that you confirm with the community that you are using the tools properly and interpreting the results correctly before you publish them. If you have a compelling reason not to leave a public note on the mailing list, email me at matt.jensen@aei.org.
\r\n\r\nResults will change as the underlying models improve. A fundamental reason for adopting open source methods in this project is to let people from all backgrounds contribute to the models that our society uses to assess economic policy; when community-contributed improvements are incorporated, the models will produce different results.
\r\n\r\nNeither the Open Source Policy Center nor the American Enterprise Institute maintain institutional positions, and the results from models accessible via the TaxBrain interface should not be attributed directly to OSPC or AEI. A suggested acknowledgement is, \"We thank AEI for making TaxBrain available, but we bear sole responsibility for the use of the models and any conclusions drawn.\"
\r\n\r\n- Matt Jensen, managing director and founder of the Open Source Policy Center
", "slug": "taxbrain_what_is_taxbrain_dropdown", "header": ""}, "pk": 32, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "A platform for accessing OSPC's open-source tax models.
", "slug": "taxbrain_footer", "header": ""}, "pk": 33, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Toggle the CPI control to indicate whether a parameter should be adjusted for inflation.
\r\n\r\nEnter comma-separated values into a field to indicate the multiple years of tax law. \r\nDO NOT use commas as thousands separators.
\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n", "slug": "taxbrain_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 34, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Distribution and Revenue Tables for Federal Individual Income Taxes", "slug": "taxbrain_results_header", "header": ""}, "pk": 35, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "Caution: this model is highly preliminary!
\r\nOG-USA is an open source economic dynamic general equilibrium model intended to evaluate U.S. tax policy. The model code and detailed documentation is available at http://www.github.com/PSLmodels/OG-USA.
\r\n\r\nOG-USA is an overlapping-generations model comprised of households, perfectly competitive firms, and a government with a balanced budget requirement. Firms make a static profit maximization decision in which they rent capital and hire labor to maximize profits given a Cobb-Douglas production function. The government levies taxes on individuals and makes lump sum transfers to individuals according to a balanced budget constraint. In the version deployed through TaxBrain, the model is scaled-down to have a single, representative household for each generation and simple tax functions. A detailed description of the model is available here.
\r\n\r\nIt is important to note a few caveats for OG-USA and the results available on TaxBrain:
\r\n\r\nOG-USA interacts with Tax-Calculator, an open source economic microsimulation model available at www.github.com/PSLmodels/tax-calculator. It does so in the following way. The user enters changes to the individual income tax code he wishes to evaluate via the TaxBrain interface. These tax policy parameters are then used to recompute marginal and effective tax rates for individuals in the microdata underlying Tax-Calculator. These marginal and effective tax rates are then use to estimate marginal and effective tax rates faced by the households in OG-USA, thereby determining how model households respond to changes in tax policy.
\r\n\r\nHow to cite
\r\n\r\nThese results were generated with the community developed and open source economic model OG-USA, accessed via version xx.xx.xx of TaxBrain, an interface hosted by AEI's Open Source Policy Center. The exact simulation modeled here is available at www.ospc.org/taxbrain/dynamic/results/NNNNNN. The results are solely the responsibility of the author.
\r\n\r\n \r\nProject Maintainers (OG-USA modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\n
*These members review open source contributions for the OG-USA modeling effort.\r\n\r\n
**The contact information for Professors DeBacker and Evans will be updated in the coming months to reflect their new positions at the University of South Carolina and University of Chicago, respectively.
\r\n", "slug": "dynamic_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 36, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "In the context of policy analysis, dynamic modeling incorporates behavior that affects the aggregate output of the economy. This broad definition includes nearly every type of economic analysis except for the approach most often used in the analysis of tax and spending policy proposals by agencies in the federal government.
\r\n\r\nThere is no single \"accepted\" way to estimate the dynamic effects of policy reforms, so TaxBrain is designed to encourage users to try several approaches and to grapple seriously with the limitations and tradeoffs of each approach. Please pay close attention to the descriptions of each model and send a message to the TaxBrain community mailing list if you have questions. You can join the mailing list at list.ospc.org/mailman/listinfo/users_list.ospc.org.
\r\n\r\nThe open source project maintainers are working hard to expand the capabilities of these models and would appreciate a hand if there are limitations that frustrate you.
\r\n\r\nFinally, if you are an economist with a dynamic model that you would like to make available on TaxBrain, please write to the mailing list or to me at matt.jensen@aei.org.
\r\n\r\n- Matt Jensen, managing director and founder of the Open Source Policy Center
\r\n\r\n", "slug": "dynamic_landing_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 37, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "The partial equilibrium (PE) model answers the question \"How would taxpayer behavior (income and deductions) influence the estimate if all other prices in the economy could stay the same?\" It relies on estimates of the elasticity of taxable income with respect to tax policy and is useful for summarizing the power and direction of a reform's effect on the economy.
\r\n\r\nThe actual effects of a tax policy would generally differ from that predicted by the PE model in a manner that depends on other elasticities and legislative changes. In particular the elasticity of demand for labor, deductible goods, savings, investment, monetary policy, and other factors will moderate the outcome. Because the PE model does not include those effects, it is not a reliable estimate of a tax policy's full effects.
\r\n\r\nJohn Creedy's \"The Elasticity of Taxable Income: A Non-Technical Summary\" shows how to use the PE behavioral responses for determining the efficiency effect of a tax reform. In \"The Elasticity of Taxable Income with Respect to Marginal Tax Rates: A Critical Review,\" Saez, Slemrod and Giertz review various estimates of the critical parameters. The Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) and Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimate the persistent capital gains elasticity in their \"New Evidence on the Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains\".
\r\n\r\nThe PE approach is similar to the \"conventional\" modeling conducted by government agencies for the budgeting process in that both approaches allow for taxpayers to change their behavior in response to policy reforms. The difference is that the PE model allows those behavioral changes to influence Gross National Product (GNP), whereas JCT and the Office of Tax Analysis (OTA) at the Treasury Department hold GNP fixed.
\r\n\r\nThe PE model is implemented by applying the behavioral elasticities at the individual taxpayer level. The source code for the implementation is available in the behavior module of the open source Tax-Calculator model . \r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\n \r\nCore Maintainers (PE modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\n
*These members review open source contributions to the sections of the Tax-Calculator repository relevant to PE modeling.
", "slug": "dynamic_behavior_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 38, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "This approach answers the question, \"how would taxpayer behavior (income and deductions) affect revenue if all other prices in the economy could stay the same?\"
", "slug": "dynamic_behavioral_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 39, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "", "slug": "elastic_dynamic_subheader", "header": ""}, "pk": 40, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "
This approach harnesses econometric estimates of the historical relationship between tax policy and the macroeconomy to predict the effect of tax reforms on growth.
", "slug": "dynamic_macro_el_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 41, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
\r\n\r\nThroughout this process, if you have a question about how to use TaxBrain or interpret the results, if you want to make a suggestion for making the interface or underlying models better, or if you discover a bug, please send a message to our mailing list, which you can join at list.ospc.org/mailman/listinfo/users_list.ospc.org.
\r\n\r\nDisclaimer\r\n\r\n
Proper use of this tool and description of that use is ultimately your responsibility. If you plan on publishing your results, I highly recommend that you confirm with the community that you are using the tools properly and interpreting the results correctly before you publish them. If you have a compelling reason not to leave a public note on the mailing list, email me at matt.jensen@aei.org.
\r\n\r\nResults will change as the underlying models improve. A fundamental reason for adopting open source methods in this project is to let people from all backgrounds contribute to the models that our society uses to assess economic policy; when community-contributed improvements are incorporated, the models will produce different results.
\r\n\r\nNeither the Open Source Policy Center nor the American Enterprise Institute maintain institutional positions, and the results from models accessible via the TaxBrain interface should not be attributed directly to OSPC or AEI. A suggested acknowledgement is, \"We thank AEI for making TaxBrain available, but we bear sole responsibility for the use of the models and any conclusions drawn.\"
\r\n\r\n- Matt Jensen, managing director and founder of the Open Source Policy Center
\r\n\r\nStatic tax analysis entails computing individuals' tax changes under the assumption that behavior does not change in response to tax policy. Static analyses are useful for understanding the mechanistic effects of tax policy changes, and they form the basis to which behavior is applied for dynamic analyses. \r\n\r\n
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
\r\nTransparency and Replicability
\r\n\r\nIn addition to relying on open source models, we are devoted to making it easy for reviewers to understand the models even if they can't understand the source code or don't have access to the underlying data. Toward that end we produce several additional reports to enhance transparency, peer review, collaboration and a scientific advancement.
\r\n\r\nNote that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
\r\n\r\nAccuracy notes
\r\n\r\nThe Python code that performs the tax calculations has been validated in a\r\nnumber of ways. First, Tax-Calculator results for a number of tax filing\r\nunits have been compared to hand calculations performed using IRS tax\r\nforms. Second, Tax-Calculator results for a large sample of tax filing units\r\nhave been compared to results for the same sample generated by a\r\ndetailed SAS program developed by Dan\r\nFeenberg and Ina Shapiro of NBER. Third, a subset of input variables has been used to compare the results of Tax-Calculator to Internet TAXSIM as well as against the Policy Simulation Group's PENSIM tax module
\r\n\r\nBugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
\r\n\r\n\r\nCore Maintainers (static modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\nThese members have \"write access\" to one or both of the core static modeling repositories, Tax-Calculator and TaxData, and work as a team to determine which open source contributions are accepted.
", "slug": "taxbrain_above_get_started_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 42, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}, {"fields": {"content": "This approach harnesses econometric estimates of the historic relationship between tax policy and the macroeconomy to predict the effect of tax reforms on growth.
\r\n\r\nIn particular, this model relies on estimates of how GDP responds to changes in the average after tax rate on wage income across all taxpayers (one minus the average marginal tax rate, or 1 - AMTR). These estimates are derived from calculations of income-weighted marginal tax rates under the baseline and reform using Tax-Calculator with baseline data from TaxData. An example of the implementation is available here.
\r\n\r\nEvidence for this parameter can be found in Barro and Redlick's \"Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases and Taxes.\" In particular, Barro and Redlick find that a 1 percentage point increase in the AMTR leads to a 0.54 percent increase in GDP. Evaluated at the sample mean, this translates to an elasticity of GDP with respect to the average after tax rate of 0.36.
\r\n\r\nKarel Mertens' \"Marginal Tax Rates and Income: New Time Series Evidence\" contains additional evidence, focused on tax cuts affecting the upper part of the income distribution.
\r\n\r\nBoth Mertens and Karel tentatively conclude that the effect stems from marginal rather than average tax rates.
\r\n\r\n\r\n \r\nCore Maintainer (Macro elasticity modeling)*:\r\n\r\n
\r\n
This approach answers the question, \"how does tax policy affect macroeconomic aggregates and prices?\"", "slug": "dynamic_olg_blurb", "header": ""}, "pk": 44, "model": "flatblocks.flatblock"}] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/templates/btax/header.html b/templates/btax/header.html index b9f26f84..084abe28 100644 --- a/templates/btax/header.html +++ b/templates/btax/header.html @@ -22,7 +22,7 @@
The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source.
+The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source.
Bugs aside, the results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -72,7 +72,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source.
+The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source.
Bugs aside, the results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -85,7 +85,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to B-Tax, an open source economic model for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source.
+The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to B-Tax, an open source economic model for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source.
The Cost of Capital Calculator produces estimates of the marginal effective tax rates on new investment under the baseline tax policy and user-specified tax reforms. These effective rate calculations take two forms. The marginal effective tax rate (METR) provides the tax wedge on new investment at the level of the business entity. The marginal effective total tax rate (METTR) includes individual level taxes in the measure of the tax wedge on new investment. One can think of the former as indicating the effect of taxes on incentives to invest from the perspective of the firm and the latter as representing effect of taxes on incentives to invest from the perspective of the saver. For more detail on the calculations and assumptions underlying this model, please see the CCC Guide.
+The Cost of Capital Calculator produces estimates of the marginal effective tax rates on new investment under the baseline tax policy and user-specified tax reforms. These effective rate calculations take two forms. The marginal effective tax rate (METR) provides the tax wedge on new investment at the level of the business entity. The marginal effective total tax rate (METTR) includes individual level taxes in the measure of the tax wedge on new investment. One can think of the former as indicating the effect of taxes on incentives to invest from the perspective of the firm and the latter as representing effect of taxes on incentives to invest from the perspective of the saver. For more detail on the calculations and assumptions underlying this model, please see the CCC Guide.
Accuracy notes
@@ -166,7 +166,7 @@Results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the underlying model, B-Tax, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Assumptions can be made flexible in this online interface, the Cost of Capital Calculator, based on user requests.
+Results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the underlying model, B-Tax, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Assumptions can be made flexible in this online interface, the Cost of Capital Calculator, based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
diff --git a/templates/btax/not_avail.html b/templates/btax/not_avail.html
index 4e209734..43ecb514 100644
--- a/templates/btax/not_avail.html
+++ b/templates/btax/not_avail.html
@@ -13,7 +13,7 @@ Tables of Effective Tax Rates or Their Components by Asset or Industry
Go to the input page and
re-submit your parameters using the current version of PolicyBrain. Note that for older runs
some parameters may have been deprecated. We recommend
- B-Tax's documentation for alternative parameter choices.
+ B-Tax's documentation for alternative parameter choices.
diff --git a/templates/btax/results.html b/templates/btax/results.html
index 230c30ee..c823c9c8 100644
--- a/templates/btax/results.html
+++ b/templates/btax/results.html
@@ -88,7 +88,7 @@
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -108,7 +108,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
The PE approach is similar to the "conventional" modeling conducted by government agencies for the budgeting process in that both approaches allow for taxpayers to change their behavior in response to policy reforms. The difference is that the PE model allows those behavioral changes to influence Gross National Product (GNP), whereas JCT and the Office of Tax Analysis (OTA) at the Treasury Department hold GNP fixed.
-The PE model is implemented by applying the behavioral elasticities at the individual taxpayer level. The source code for the implementation is available in the behavior module of the open source Tax-Calculator model . +
The PE model is implemented by applying the behavioral elasticities at the individual taxpayer level. The source code for the implementation is available in the behavior module of the open source Tax-Calculator model .
diff --git a/templates/dynamic/dynamic_input_form.html b/templates/dynamic/dynamic_input_form.html index 512ad100..db84a186 100644 --- a/templates/dynamic/dynamic_input_form.html +++ b/templates/dynamic/dynamic_input_form.html @@ -30,7 +30,7 @@TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -107,11 +107,11 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
Caution: this model is highly preliminary!
-OG-USA is an open source economic dynamic general equilibrium model intended to evaluate U.S. tax policy. The model code and detailed documentation is available at http://www.github.com/open-source-economics/OG-USA.
+OG-USA is an open source economic dynamic general equilibrium model intended to evaluate U.S. tax policy. The model code and detailed documentation is available at http://www.github.com/PSLmodels/OG-USA.
-OG-USA is an overlapping-generations model comprised of households, perfectly competitive firms, and a government with a balanced budget requirement. Firms make a static profit maximization decision in which they rent capital and hire labor to maximize profits given a Cobb-Douglas production function. The government levies taxes on individuals and makes lump sum transfers to individuals according to a balanced budget constraint. In the version deployed through TaxBrain, the model is scaled-down to have a single, representative household for each generation and simple tax functions. A detailed description of the model is available here.
+OG-USA is an overlapping-generations model comprised of households, perfectly competitive firms, and a government with a balanced budget requirement. Firms make a static profit maximization decision in which they rent capital and hire labor to maximize profits given a Cobb-Douglas production function. The government levies taxes on individuals and makes lump sum transfers to individuals according to a balanced budget constraint. In the version deployed through TaxBrain, the model is scaled-down to have a single, representative household for each generation and simple tax functions. A detailed description of the model is available here.
It is important to note a few caveats for OG-USA and the results available on TaxBrain:
@@ -164,10 +164,10 @@OG-USA interacts with Tax-Calculator, an open source economic microsimulation model available at www.github.com/open-source-economics/tax-calculator. It does so in the following way. The user enters changes to the individual income tax code he wishes to evaluate via the TaxBrain interface. These tax policy parameters are then used to recompute marginal and effective tax rates for individuals in the microdata underlying Tax-Calculator. These marginal and effective tax rates are then use to estimate marginal and effective tax rates faced by the households in OG-USA, thereby determining how model households respond to changes in tax policy.
+OG-USA interacts with Tax-Calculator, an open source economic microsimulation model available at www.github.com/PSLmodels/tax-calculator. It does so in the following way. The user enters changes to the individual income tax code he wishes to evaluate via the TaxBrain interface. These tax policy parameters are then used to recompute marginal and effective tax rates for individuals in the microdata underlying Tax-Calculator. These marginal and effective tax rates are then use to estimate marginal and effective tax rates faced by the households in OG-USA, thereby determining how model households respond to changes in tax policy.
How to cite
diff --git a/templates/dynamic/elasticity.html b/templates/dynamic/elasticity.html index 9134df93..7aebcdfb 100644 --- a/templates/dynamic/elasticity.html +++ b/templates/dynamic/elasticity.html @@ -30,7 +30,7 @@TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
This approach harnesses econometric estimates of the historic relationship between tax policy and the macroeconomy to predict the effect of tax reforms on growth.
-In particular, this model relies on estimates of how GDP responds to changes in the average after tax rate on wage income across all taxpayers (one minus the average marginal tax rate, or 1 - AMTR). These estimates are derived from calculations of income-weighted marginal tax rates under the baseline and reform using Tax-Calculator with baseline data from TaxData. An example of the implementation is available here.
+In particular, this model relies on estimates of how GDP responds to changes in the average after tax rate on wage income across all taxpayers (one minus the average marginal tax rate, or 1 - AMTR). These estimates are derived from calculations of income-weighted marginal tax rates under the baseline and reform using Tax-Calculator with baseline data from TaxData. An example of the implementation is available here.
Evidence for this parameter can be found in Barro and Redlick's "Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases and Taxes." In particular, Barro and Redlick find that a 1 percentage point increase in the AMTR leads to a 0.54 percent increase in GDP. Evaluated at the sample mean, this translates to an elasticity of GDP with respect to the average after tax rate of 0.36.
diff --git a/templates/dynamic/elasticity_results.html b/templates/dynamic/elasticity_results.html index 8b219218..4d2d78a3 100644 --- a/templates/dynamic/elasticity_results.html +++ b/templates/dynamic/elasticity_results.html @@ -29,7 +29,7 @@TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -107,14 +107,14 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -108,7 +108,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -103,7 +103,7 @@ These members have "write access" to one or both of the core static modeling repositories, Tax-Calculator and TaxData, and work as a team to determine which open source contributions are accepted. The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source. The Cost of Capital Calculator is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the Cost of Capital Calculator webapp interface is itself open source. Bugs aside, the results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator based on user requests. Bugs aside, the results from the Cost of Capital Calculator might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, marginal effective total tax rates produced by the Cost of Capital Calculator assume the "old view" of dividend taxation. Others might assume the "new view" is more applicable. These assumptions are all flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in the Cost of Capital Calculator based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -149,8 +149,8 @@ Static modeling (Step 1)
About B-Tax (Cost of Capital)
What is the Cost of Capital Calculator?
-
Static modeling (Step 1)
have been compared to results for the same assets generated ).
by the Congressional Budget Office (using CBO assumptions).
- Static modeling (Step 1)
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Bugs aside, the static modelingresults from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the static modelingresults from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
diff --git a/templates/pages/home_content.html b/templates/pages/home_content.html
index e060847d..1d286ce2 100644
--- a/templates/pages/home_content.html
+++ b/templates/pages/home_content.html
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@
All of the projects we incubate are freely available and we encourage peer review. Transparent
All of our code is available on Github.com.
- Visit Our Code Repositories + Visit Our Code RepositoriesTaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Note that these reports currently rely on the latest versions of tax-calculator and TaxData, which might not correspond perfectly to TaxBrain.
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -105,7 +105,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -111,7 +111,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
+TaxBrain is an interface to open source economic models for tax policy analysis. The code for the TaxBrain webapp interface is itself open source.
TaxBrain's static modeling capabilities rely on several open source economic models and other packages:
Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
+Bugs aside, the results from TaxBrain might differ in comparison to those produced by Congress or the Administration for other reasons. Modeling requires many assumptions, and neither Congress nor the executive branch publicize all of their assumptions. For example, the distribution of wages in TaxData is assumed to stay the same in real terms for all years after the last year we have available data (2013). We know that Congress assumes this distribution changes over time, but it doesn't publish by how much. These assumptions are all flexible in TaxData, so please conduct sensitivity analyses. Other assumptions can be made flexible in TaxBrain based on user requests.
Core Maintainers (static modeling):
@@ -112,7 +112,7 @@ PolicyBrain Code Build
TaxBrain now offers users two data options: CPS and PUF. Both datasets contain tax unit level data, but they do not have all of the same variables. As a result, you will not be able to change some policy parameters, depending on which dataset you choose. A more detailed breakdown of the differences between the file can be found here. The CPS-based file is still young relative to the PUF-based file, and we would appreciate your feedback as it matures.
+TaxBrain now offers users two data options: CPS and PUF. Both datasets contain tax unit level data, but they do not have all of the same variables. As a result, you will not be able to change some policy parameters, depending on which dataset you choose. A more detailed breakdown of the differences between the file can be found here. The CPS-based file is still young relative to the PUF-based file, and we would appreciate your feedback as it matures.