Likelihood based scoring system #75
OVVO-Financial
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I'm waiting on a proposal which should contain:
I will say in advance of a different answer than (3) that there is one likely drawback:
Short version of my knee-jerk response: "markets > contests". The options market is more powerful than a contest, it would seem. However I think there is a sneaky hybrid approach. |
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Have you investigated the benefits of a likelihood based scoring system vs. the expanding window currently in place, especially regarding tail observations, which have immense implications in daily prizes due to the small number of observations for some of the longer frequency streams.
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