Replace obsolete "adjusted prevalence" equation #1512
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documentation / white paper
p1 important
size: large/involved
skill: model/research
type: bug
Something isn't working
Milestone
After finding the origin of the equation used to show adjusted prevalence, I contacted its author, Youyang Gu and inquired if it was still applicable for modeling as I wanted to use it myself to combine test positivity with daily cases. His reply was "Hi, that equation is from 2020. I don't think it's relevant anymore, so I wouldn't use it. The true prevalence multiplier is much higher now due to the availability of at-home testing."
Frequently updated adjusted prevalence is a killer feature of microCOVID. I often use it to compare friends' county risk levels as they may be in parts of the country with significantly more positive tests but much lower test positivity. Much has been published of modeling true infections, but the formulas aren't simple or are calibrated to seroprevalence by state.
Would it be possible to find a better equation to add value to this feature?
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