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I don't know when I will finish it (probably not by the closure date), but I wanted to mention something I am doing in reaction to this news. It is another option, perhaps between options 2 and 3: remove the location-based prevalence data and force the user to enter it themselves before the other parts of the form show up. For a while now, I have overridden the prevalence data for my area, believing it is too low quality. But I am fortunate to live in one of the handful of places which continue to report sewershed data, which I have roughly modeled myself to create a "true prevalence" prediction. That is my input to the site, and seems to mesh well with the site's own conservative modeling. My predictions are extremely location specific, and my method is neither peer reviewed nor possibly applicable anywhere else, so I see no reason to share it. My point is, I am completely ignoring all prior prevalence data and using my own, and the site is still extremely useful. I can see both sides of the ethical debate of forcing people to look up and enter their own prevalence data with a "be careful, garbage in means garbage out" warning. I recognize "do your own research" has become a rather unfortunate meme. But with the site's closure, I will now create my own private fork for continued personal use. I wonder how many other nerdy amateurs will be doing as I do anyway, to varying levels of accuracy and success. I will let others debate it. I just wanted to mention this as an additional option. |
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@apiology Is the Covid Act Now API a possible replacement data source, at least for the US? |
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I hope there is a path forward for option 3, focused on "relative risk between different activities", which I think could free volunteers from much of the day-to-day maintenance burden but keep the site useful to the public for making objective risk-based decisions (either incorporating user-provided prevalence data, or just creating a generic risk score). |
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Hey all - a group of contributors has taken up a different option of requiring manual prevalence input. I'll go ahead and lock this thread. |
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Please see this post about the current situation for microCOVID:
Here are the potential futures I can imagine given the above:
What am I missing? Do you want to claim part of this work? Join a team working on any of the above, and in what capacity? I can help coordinate effort, assist with problems you hit, or just review PRs if you want to try something out solo. I can also help if you think you have relevant skills but don't know where to start—just speak up.
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